Miguel
Menino
CMPortugal · SC Farense
Player dossierLiga Portugal
MiguelMenino
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- SC Farense
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Portugal
- Age
- 22
- Height
- 181 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 22 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Menino at €800k. Model A, which never saw Menino during training, estimates €642k: the market value is 25% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.25. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €769k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 28
- Minutes
- 1,846
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 22/28
- Min / app
- 66
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Menino…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
79% this player69% midfielder median68th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €300k
- Oct 2024
- Peak
- €1M
- Mar 2025
- Model target
- €800k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 5
- 0 club changes
Dec 2025: €800k, SC Farense. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-08 | €300k | SC Farense |
| 2024-12-19 | €700k | SC Farense |
| 2025-03-31 | €1M | SC Farense |
| 2025-05-30 | €1M | SC Farense |
| 2025-12-22 | €800k | SC Farense |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.220
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 35% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 27% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Menino appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- RamosGKFC Porto · Liga Portugal€800k
- KuipersLBFC Arouca · Liga Portugal€800k
- XekaCMGD Estoril Praia · Liga Portugal€800k
- VirgíniaGKSporting CP · Liga Portugal€800k
- BadeljDMGenoa CFC · midfielders€800k
- CuadradoRMPisa Sporting Club · midfielders€800k
- DjuricicAMPanathinaikos · midfielders€800k
- ClasieDMAZ Alkmaar · midfielders€800k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).