Luiz
Henrique
RWBrazil · Zenit St. Petersburg
Photo: Bryan Berlin / WikiPortraits, CC BY-SA 4.0 (background removed)
Player dossierPremier Liga
LuizHenrique
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Zenit St. Petersburg
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 182 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Premier LigaReading the valuation
The market values Henrique at €24M. Model A, which never saw Henrique during training, estimates €8.1M: the market value is 195% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.95. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 48
- Minutes
- 3,572
- Goals
- 8
- Assists
- 7
- Started
- 42/48
- Min / app
- 74
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Henrique…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €24M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
88% this player59% attacker median91st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €500k
- Sept 2020
- Peak
- €25M
- Mar 2025
- Model target
- €24M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 17
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €24M, Zenit St. Petersburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-09-09 | €500k | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2020-10-08 | €2M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2021-02-09 | €2M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2021-05-28 | €3.5M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2021-12-17 | €5M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2022-04-06 | €12M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2022-11-07 | €15M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2023-06-13 | €15M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2023-12-22 | €12M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2024-03-28 | €12M | Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas |
| 2024-06-17 | €12M | Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas |
| 2024-09-27 | €16M | Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas |
| 2024-12-09 | €22M | Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas |
| 2025-03-19 | €25M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2025-06-04 | €25M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2025-12-16 | €24M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2026-05-26 | €24M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.081
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
4th highest observed value among 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 90% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Henrique appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SpertsyanAMFC Krasnodar · Premier Liga€25M
- KislyakCMCSKA Moscow · Premier Liga€25M
- BatrakovAMLokomotiv Moscow · Premier Liga€28M
- PedroLWZenit St. Petersburg · Premier Liga€20M
- SuzukiSSSC Freiburg · attackers€24M
- WilsonRWFulham FC · attackers€25M
- ScamaccaCFAtalanta BC · attackers€25M
- WatkinsCFAston Villa · attackers€25M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).