FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Ayoube

Amaimouni-Echghouyab

RWMorocco · Eintracht Frankfurt

№ 799993Elite €4.1M +0.90

Player dossierBundesliga

AyoubeAmaimouni-Echghouyab

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Eintracht Frankfurt
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Morocco
Age
21
Height
179 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Amaimouni-Echghouyab at €10M. Model A, which never saw Amaimouni-Echghouyab during training, estimates €4.1M: the market value is 147% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.47. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.90A €4.1M▲ +2.05B €1.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
17
Minutes
580
Goals
2
Assists
3
Started
6/17
Min / app
34
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Amaimouni-Echghouyab…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €10MModel A €4.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 59th, Assists per 90 99th, Minutes, two years 5th, Starts 15th, Minutes, last 365 days 19th, European club minutes 28th59thGoals99thAssists5thMinutes15thStarts19thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.47 this player0.15 attacker median99th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jan 2025
Peak
€10M
May 2026
Model target
€10M
May 2026
Valuations
6
1 club change
May 2026€10MEintracht FrankfurtValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €10M, Eintracht Frankfurt. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2025-01-06€150kTSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
2025-06-11€175kTSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
2025-10-10€500kTSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
2025-12-23€2MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
2026-03-20€7MEintracht Frankfurt
2026-05-27€10MEintracht Frankfurt

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.903

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 65% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 77% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Amaimouni-Echghouyab appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).