Calebe
AMBrazil · Deportivo Alavés
Player dossierLaLiga
Calebe
AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Deportivo Alavés
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 173 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
LaLigaReading the valuation
The market values Calebe at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Calebe during training, estimates €1.6M: the market value is 13% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.13. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €492k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 21
- Minutes
- 888
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 15/21
- Min / app
- 42
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Calebe…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
71% this player69% midfielder median55th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €750k
- Feb 2021
- Peak
- €2.5M
- Nov 2022
- Model target
- €1.8M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 15
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €1.8M, Deportivo Alavés. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-09 | €750k | Atlético Mineiro U20 |
| 2021-05-28 | €800k | Atlético Mineiro U20 |
| 2021-12-17 | €1.5M | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2022-04-06 | €2.2M | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2022-08-19 | €2.2M | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2022-11-14 | €2.5M | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2023-04-07 | €2.5M | Fortaleza Esporte Clube |
| 2023-07-25 | €2.5M | Fortaleza Esporte Clube |
| 2023-12-11 | €2.5M | Fortaleza Esporte Clube |
| 2024-03-28 | €2.5M | Fortaleza Esporte Clube |
| 2024-06-17 | €2.5M | Fortaleza Esporte Clube |
| 2024-12-09 | €2M | Fortaleza Esporte Clube |
| 2025-06-06 | €2M | Fortaleza Esporte Clube |
| 2025-12-12 | €2M | Deportivo Alavés |
| 2026-06-05 | €1.8M | Deportivo Alavés |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.124
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 44% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Calebe appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- LejeuneCBRayo Vallecano · LaLiga€1.8M
- RyanGKLevante UD · LaLiga€1.8M
- DendonckerDMReal Oviedo · LaLiga€1.8M
- GazzanigaGKGirona FC · LaLiga€1.8M
- StögerAMBorussia Mönchengladbach · midfielders€1.8M
- GerhardtCMVfL Wolfsburg · midfielders€1.8M
- BelkeblaCMAngers SCO · midfielders€1.8M
- PflückeRMRoyal Charleroi SC · midfielders€1.8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).