FairValue

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Mathew

Ryan

GKAustralia · Levante UD

№ 128969Emerging €1.3M +0.31

Player dossierLaLiga

MathewRyan

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Levante UD
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Australia
Age
34
Height
184 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ryan at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Ryan during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 36% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.36. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €849k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.31A €1.3M▲ +0.75B €849k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
51
Minutes
4,590
Started
51/51
Min / app
90
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ryan…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.8MModel A €1.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Mathew Ryan's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 73rd, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 86th, European club minutes 32nd73rdMinutes62ndStarts86thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,240 this player1,560 goalkeeper median86th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,970

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Feb 2010
Peak
€10M
Jun 2019
Model target
€1.8M
Jun 2026
Valuations
37
11 club changes
Jun 2026€1.8MLevante UDValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.8M, Levante UD. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2010-02-14€75kCentral Coast Mariners
2011-01-21€200kCentral Coast Mariners
2011-07-11€300kCentral Coast Mariners
2011-12-23€500kCentral Coast Mariners
2012-01-23€750kCentral Coast Mariners
2012-06-11€800kCentral Coast Mariners
2013-01-12€1MCentral Coast Mariners
2013-10-08€1.2MClub Brugge KV
2014-02-10€2.5MClub Brugge KV
2014-06-28€3MClub Brugge KV
2015-01-07€4MClub Brugge KV
2015-06-24€7MClub Brugge KV
2016-02-22€6MValencia CF
2016-07-15€4MValencia CF
2017-01-24€3MValencia CF
2017-06-06€3.5MKRC Genk
2017-10-23€5MBrighton & Hove Albion
2018-01-02€6MBrighton & Hove Albion
2018-05-28€8MBrighton & Hove Albion
2018-12-19€8MBrighton & Hove Albion
2019-06-13€10MBrighton & Hove Albion
2019-12-10€10MBrighton & Hove Albion
2020-04-08€8MBrighton & Hove Albion
2020-10-13€8MBrighton & Hove Albion
2021-03-18€6MArsenal FC
2021-06-08€6MArsenal FC
2021-12-30€5MReal Sociedad
2022-06-03€5MReal Sociedad
2022-11-14€5MFC Copenhagen
2023-03-17€4MAZ Alkmaar
2023-06-23€4MAZ Alkmaar
2023-12-15€4MAZ Alkmaar
2024-05-31€3.5MAZ Alkmaar
2024-12-18€2.5MAS Roma
2025-06-03€2.5MRC Lens
2025-12-12€2MLevante UD
2026-06-05€1.8MLevante UD

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.305

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 25% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 58% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ryan appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).