Nicolas
Milanovic
RWAustralia · Aberdeen FC
Player dossierPremiership
NicolasMilanovic
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Aberdeen FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- Australia
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
PremiershipReading the valuation
The market values Milanovic at €600k. Model A, which never saw Milanovic during training, estimates €382k: the market value is 57% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.57. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €838k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 18
- Minutes
- 734
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 9/18
- Min / app
- 41
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Milanovic…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
11% this player0% attacker median72nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Oct 2020
- Peak
- €850k
- Jun 2025
- Model target
- €600k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 12
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €600k, Aberdeen FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-08 | €50k | Western United U21 |
| 2021-03-30 | €100k | Western United U21 |
| 2021-10-01 | €100k | Western United U21 |
| 2022-05-06 | €150k | Western United U21 |
| 2023-04-05 | €200k | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2024-01-08 | €350k | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2024-05-28 | €450k | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2025-01-09 | €700k | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2025-06-03 | €850k | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2025-10-08 | €600k | Aberdeen FC |
| 2025-12-10 | €600k | Aberdeen FC |
| 2026-05-20 | €600k | Aberdeen FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.451
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 63% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 19% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Milanovic appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- MillerLMFalkirk FC · Premiership€600k
- SpittalCMHeart of Midlothian FC · Premiership€600k
- CaddenLMHibernian FC · Premiership€600k
- KnoesterCBAberdeen FC · Premiership€600k
- PavolettiCFCagliari Calcio · attackers€600k
- GhezzalRWOlympique Lyon · attackers€600k
- ManéRWKayserispor · attackers€600k
- CerriCFComo 1907 · attackers€600k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).