FairValue

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Mika

Godts

LWBelgium · Ajax Amsterdam

№ 748804World Class €23.7M +0.39

Player dossierEredivisie

MikaGodts

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Ajax Amsterdam
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Belgium
Age
20
Height
176 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Godts at €35M. Model A, which never saw Godts during training, estimates €23.7M: the market value is 48% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.48. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €51.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.39A €23.7M▼ −0.38B €51.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
89
Minutes
5,981
Goals
25
Assists
21
Started
70/89
Min / app
67
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Godts…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €35M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €35MModel A €23.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Mika Godts's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 73rd, Assists per 90 92nd, Minutes, two years 97th, Starts 81st, Minutes, last 365 days 98th, European club minutes 88th73rdGoals92ndAssists97thMinutes81stStarts98thRecent88thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,360 this player1,301 attacker median98th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€800k
Oct 2022
Peak
€35M
May 2026
Model target
€35M
May 2026
Valuations
12
2 club changes
May 2026€35MAjax AmsterdamValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €35M, Ajax Amsterdam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-10-05€800kJong Genk
2022-12-22€800kJong Genk
2023-07-04€1MAjax Amsterdam U21
2023-12-15€2MAjax Amsterdam U21
2024-05-31€4MAjax Amsterdam
2024-10-14€8MAjax Amsterdam
2024-12-17€10MAjax Amsterdam
2025-05-28€10MAjax Amsterdam
2025-10-02€13MAjax Amsterdam
2025-12-02€15MAjax Amsterdam
2026-03-11€25MAjax Amsterdam
2026-05-28€35MAjax Amsterdam

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.391

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

2nd highest observed value among 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€35MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 94% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€35MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Godts appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).