Marc-André ter
Stegen
GKGermany · Girona FC
Player dossierLaLiga
Marc-André terStegen
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Girona FC
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Germany
- Age
- 34
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
LaLigaReading the valuation
The market values Stegen at €3M. Model A, which never saw Stegen during training, estimates €791k: the market value is 279% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×3.79. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €444k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 12
- Minutes
- 1,035
- Started
- 12/12
- Min / app
- 86
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Stegen…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
9% this player0% goalkeeper median71st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Aug 2009
- Peak
- €90M
- Jun 2019
- Model target
- €3M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 50
- 4 club changes
Jun 2026: €3M, Girona FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2009-08-13 | €100k | Borussia Mönchengladbach U19 |
| 2010-08-27 | €200k | Borussia Mönchengladbach II |
| 2010-10-18 | €350k | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2011-01-12 | €400k | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2011-06-29 | €2.5M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2011-08-26 | €3.5M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2011-10-18 | €5.5M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2012-01-23 | €7.5M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2012-06-29 | €10M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2013-01-13 | €10M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2013-06-30 | €11M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2014-02-12 | €20M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2014-07-20 | €20M | FC Barcelona |
| 2014-10-05 | €15M | FC Barcelona |
| 2015-01-23 | €15M | FC Barcelona |
| 2015-07-01 | €18M | FC Barcelona |
| 2015-11-22 | €15M | FC Barcelona |
| 2016-02-22 | €15M | FC Barcelona |
| 2016-06-01 | €15M | FC Barcelona |
| 2016-07-15 | €15M | FC Barcelona |
| 2016-10-27 | €18M | FC Barcelona |
| 2017-01-24 | €22M | FC Barcelona |
| 2017-06-05 | €25M | FC Barcelona |
| 2018-01-01 | €40M | FC Barcelona |
| 2018-03-22 | €60M | FC Barcelona |
| 2018-05-30 | €60M | FC Barcelona |
| 2018-10-31 | €80M | FC Barcelona |
| 2018-12-21 | €80M | FC Barcelona |
| 2019-06-11 | €90M | FC Barcelona |
| 2019-12-20 | €90M | FC Barcelona |
| 2020-04-08 | €72M | FC Barcelona |
| 2020-10-08 | €75M | FC Barcelona |
| 2021-01-05 | €75M | FC Barcelona |
| 2021-06-10 | €60M | FC Barcelona |
| 2021-10-13 | €55M | FC Barcelona |
| 2021-12-30 | €45M | FC Barcelona |
| 2022-06-03 | €30M | FC Barcelona |
| 2022-11-07 | €30M | FC Barcelona |
| 2023-03-23 | €40M | FC Barcelona |
| 2023-06-13 | €35M | FC Barcelona |
| 2023-12-22 | €35M | FC Barcelona |
| 2024-03-21 | €30M | FC Barcelona |
| 2024-06-07 | €28M | FC Barcelona |
| 2024-10-11 | €20M | FC Barcelona |
| 2024-12-27 | €15M | FC Barcelona |
| 2025-06-09 | €12M | FC Barcelona |
| 2025-10-02 | €8M | FC Barcelona |
| 2025-12-12 | €7M | FC Barcelona |
| 2026-03-16 | €4M | Girona FC |
| 2026-06-05 | €3M | Girona FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.333
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 68% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Stegen appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- AlabaCBReal Madrid · LaLiga€3M
- VlachodimosGKSevilla FC · LaLiga€3M
- DarderCMRCD Mallorca · LaLiga€3M
- MorenoLBGirona FC · LaLiga€3M
- SchwäbeGK1.FC Köln · goalkeepers€3M
- ProvedelGKSS Lazio · goalkeepers€3M
- StrakoshaGKAEK Athens · goalkeepers€3M
- MussoGKAtlético de Madrid · goalkeepers€3M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).