Jota
RWPortugal · FC Oleksandriya
Player dossierPremier Liha
Jota
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- FC Oleksandriya
- League
- Premier Liha
- Nationality
- Portugal
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 176 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 2 Jun 2026
Premier LihaReading the valuation
The market values Jota at €300k. Model A, which never saw Jota during training, estimates €485k: the market value is 38% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.62. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 15
- Minutes
- 635
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 7/15
- Min / app
- 42
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Jota…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
10% this player0% attacker median70th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Sept 2023
- Peak
- €300k
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €300k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 6
- 1 club change
Jun 2026: €300k, FC Oleksandriya. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-29 | €200k | Vitória Guimarães SC |
| 2023-12-27 | €200k | Vitória Guimarães SC |
| 2024-06-06 | €100k | Vitória Guimarães SC |
| 2025-09-10 | €200k | FC Oleksandriya |
| 2025-12-18 | €300k | FC Oleksandriya |
| 2026-06-02 | €300k | FC Oleksandriya |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.480
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liha414 players · median €400k
Valued above 27% of the 414 Premier Liha players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 8% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Jota appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BudkivskyiCFZorya Lugansk · Premier Liha€300k
- KalitvintsevAMMetalist 1925 Kharkiv · Premier Liha€300k
- KhoblenkoCFChornomorets Odesa · Premier Liha€300k
- GabelokCMChornomorets Odesa · Premier Liha€300k
- TosunCFKasimpasa · attackers€300k
- ZabolotnyiCFSpartak Moscow · attackers€300k
- LinssenCFNEC Nijmegen · attackers€300k
- ForrestRWCeltic FC · attackers€300k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).