David
Sousa
CBBrazil · Casa Pia AC
Player dossierLiga Portugal
DavidSousa
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Casa Pia AC
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Liga PortugalReading the valuation
The market values Sousa at €1M. Model A, which never saw Sousa during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 30% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.43. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 26
- Minutes
- 2,265
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 25/26
- Min / app
- 87
- Cards
- 13Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sousa…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
96% this player83% defender median87th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Oct 2020
- Peak
- €1M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €1M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 12
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €1M, Casa Pia AC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-08 | €150k | Unknown |
| 2021-02-09 | €250k | Unknown |
| 2022-01-06 | €400k | Cercle Brugge |
| 2022-04-12 | €550k | Cercle Brugge |
| 2022-11-04 | €550k | Cercle Brugge |
| 2023-06-09 | €400k | Cercle Brugge |
| 2023-12-11 | €400k | Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas |
| 2024-06-04 | €500k | RWD Molenbeek |
| 2024-12-20 | €500k | RWD Molenbeek |
| 2025-04-24 | €700k | RWD Molenbeek |
| 2025-12-18 | €800k | Casa Pia AC |
| 2026-05-28 | €1M | Casa Pia AC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.358
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 42% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 35% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Sousa appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- OtamendiCBSL Benfica · Liga Portugal€1M
- SoaresLBFC Famalicão · Liga Portugal€1M
- ZlobinGKFC Famalicão · Liga Portugal€1M
- FerroCBGD Estoril Praia · Liga Portugal€1M
- AzpilicuetaCBSevilla FC · defenders€1M
- KaravaevRBDynamo Kyiv · defenders€1M
- BerchicheLBAthletic Bilbao · defenders€1M
- MandiCBLOSC Lille · defenders€1M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).