Ilan
Kebbal
RWAlgeria · Paris FC
Player dossierLigue 1
IlanKebbal
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Paris FC
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Algeria
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 169 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Kebbal at €12M. Model A, which never saw Kebbal during training, estimates €10.2M: the market value is 18% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 29
- Minutes
- 2,232
- Goals
- 9
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 26/29
- Min / app
- 77
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kebbal…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
90% this player59% attacker median94th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €800k
- Nov 2020
- Peak
- €12M
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €12M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 17
- 2 club changes
Jun 2026: €12M, Paris FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-11-11 | €800k | USL Dunkerque |
| 2021-03-11 | €1M | USL Dunkerque |
| 2021-06-25 | €1M | USL Dunkerque |
| 2021-10-08 | €3.5M | Stade Reims |
| 2021-12-16 | €4.5M | Stade Reims |
| 2022-05-30 | €4.5M | Stade Reims |
| 2022-10-28 | €3M | Paris FC |
| 2023-04-06 | €2.5M | Paris FC |
| 2023-06-16 | €2M | Paris FC |
| 2023-12-13 | €2.5M | Paris FC |
| 2024-06-11 | €3M | Paris FC |
| 2024-12-04 | €3M | Paris FC |
| 2025-03-12 | €3.5M | Paris FC |
| 2025-06-02 | €5M | Paris FC |
| 2025-10-10 | €10M | Paris FC |
| 2025-12-15 | €12M | Paris FC |
| 2026-06-01 | €12M | Paris FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.161
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 72% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 79% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Kebbal appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KehrerCBAS Monaco · Ligue 1€12M
- SzymanskiAMStade Rennais FC · Ligue 1€12M
- CamaraCMStade Rennais FC · Ligue 1€12M
- ÉdouardCFRC Lens · Ligue 1€12M
- MurphyRWNewcastle United · attackers€12M
- FührichLWVfB Stuttgart · attackers€12M
- BrooksRWAFC Bournemouth · attackers€12M
- GudmundssonSSACF Fiorentina · attackers€12M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).