FairValue

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Portrait of Rodrigo Muniz

Rodrigo

Muniz

CFBrazil · Fulham FC

№ 735571Elite €17.4M +0.14

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

RodrigoMuniz

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Fulham FC
League
Premier League
Nationality
Brazil
Age
25
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Muniz at €20M. Model A, which never saw Muniz during training, estimates €17.4M: the market value is 15% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.14A €17.4M▲ +1.32B €5.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
60
Minutes
2,458
Goals
12
Assists
3
Started
24/60
Min / app
41
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Muniz…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €20M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €20MModel A €17.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Rodrigo Muniz's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 82nd, Assists per 90 36th, Minutes, two years 55th, Starts 21st, Minutes, last 365 days 46th, European club minutes 28th82ndGoals36thAssists55thMinutes21stStarts46thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.44 this player0.26 attacker median82nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€750k
Feb 2021
Peak
€25M
Oct 2025
Model target
€20M
Jun 2026
Valuations
14
3 club changes
Jun 2026€20MFulham FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €20M, Fulham FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-02-09€750kCR Flamengo
2021-05-28€3MCR Flamengo
2021-11-24€3MFulham FC
2022-05-13€5MFulham FC
2022-10-27€5MMiddlesbrough FC
2023-06-01€5MFulham FC
2023-12-19€5MFulham FC
2024-03-14€10MFulham FC
2024-05-27€20MFulham FC
2024-12-16€20MFulham FC
2025-05-30€20MFulham FC
2025-10-17€25MFulham FC
2025-12-09€25MFulham FC
2026-06-03€20MFulham FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.138

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 54% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 87% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Muniz appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).