Rodrigo
Ribeiro
CFPortugal · FC Augsburg
Player dossierBundesliga
RodrigoRibeiro
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- FC Augsburg
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Portugal
- Age
- 21
- Height
- 186 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Ribeiro at €4M. Model A, which never saw Ribeiro during training, estimates €5.7M: the market value is 30% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.43. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 38
- Minutes
- 1,654
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 17/38
- Min / app
- 44
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ribeiro…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% attacker median56th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €1M
- May 2022
- Peak
- €4M
- Mar 2026
- Model target
- €4M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 10
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €4M, FC Augsburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-31 | €1M | Sporting CP U19 |
| 2022-11-01 | €3M | Sporting CP B |
| 2023-06-16 | €3M | Sporting CP B |
| 2023-12-27 | €3M | Sporting CP |
| 2024-05-27 | €3M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2024-12-19 | €3M | Avs Futebol |
| 2025-05-30 | €2.5M | Avs Futebol |
| 2025-12-18 | €2.5M | Sporting CP B |
| 2026-03-20 | €4M | FC Augsburg |
| 2026-05-27 | €4M | FC Augsburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.355
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 39% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 59% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ribeiro appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- NeuerGKBayern Munich · Bundesliga€4M
- SüleCBBorussia Dortmund · Bundesliga€4M
- GrifoLWSC Freiburg · Bundesliga€4M
- ZettererGKEintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga€4M
- IcardiCFGalatasaray · attackers€4M
- WilsonCFWest Ham United · attackers€4M
- TraoréRWSunderland AFC · attackers€4M
- ElyounoussiSSFC Copenhagen · attackers€4M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).