FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Apostolos

Christopoulos

CFGreece · AE Kifisia

№ 724036Emerging €452k −0.41

Player dossierSuper League

ApostolosChristopoulos

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
AE Kifisia
League
Super League
Nationality
Greece
Age
23
Height
186 cm
Foot
–
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Christopoulos at €300k. Model A, which never saw Christopoulos during training, estimates €452k: the market value is 34% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.51. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €507k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.41A €452k▼ −0.53B €507k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
17
Minutes
921
Goals
3
Assists
0
Started
13/17
Min / app
54
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Christopoulos…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €300kModel A €452k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Apostolos Christopoulos's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 56th, Assists per 90 6th, Minutes, two years 16th, Starts 78th, Minutes, last 365 days 34th, European club minutes 28th56thGoals6thAssists16thMinutes78thStarts34thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

76% this player59% attacker median78th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Dec 2021
Peak
€300k
Jun 2026
Model target
€300k
Jun 2026
Valuations
12
3 club changes
Jun 2026€300kAE KifisiaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €300k, AE Kifisia. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-12-28€25kAEK Athens B
2022-06-27€25kAEK Athens B
2023-02-27€75kAEK Athens B
2023-06-19€125kAEK Athens B
2023-12-28€175kAEK Athens B
2024-03-13€200kAEK Athens B
2024-05-23€200kAEK Athens B
2024-12-27€200kAE Kifisia
2025-05-16€200kAEK Athens B
2025-12-12€200kAE Kifisia
2026-03-06€250kAE Kifisia
2026-06-04€300kAE Kifisia

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.411

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 20% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 8% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Christopoulos appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).