Luc
Marijnissen
CBNetherlands · FCV Dender EH
Player dossierPro League
LucMarijnissen
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- FCV Dender EH
- League
- Pro League
- Nationality
- Netherlands
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Pro LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Marijnissen at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Marijnissen during training, estimates €2.1M: the market value is 27% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.37. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 35
- Minutes
- 3,060
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 35/35
- Min / app
- 87
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Marijnissen…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player83% defender median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Oct 2021
- Peak
- €1.5M
- Jun 2026
- Model target
- €1.5M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 12
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €1.5M, FCV Dender EH. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-12 | €25k | NAC Breda U21 |
| 2022-01-12 | €25k | NAC Breda U21 |
| 2022-06-23 | €25k | NAC Breda U21 |
| 2023-07-04 | €50k | NAC Breda U21 |
| 2023-10-02 | €250k | KSK Lierse Kempenzonen |
| 2023-12-28 | €300k | KSK Lierse Kempenzonen |
| 2024-06-20 | €300k | KSK Lierse Kempenzonen |
| 2024-12-20 | €400k | K Lierse SK |
| 2025-04-24 | €500k | K Lierse SK |
| 2025-10-01 | €800k | FCV Dender EH |
| 2025-12-10 | €1.2M | FCV Dender EH |
| 2026-06-04 | €1.5M | FCV Dender EH |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.317
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Pro League350 players · median €1.8M
Valued above 39% of the 350 Pro League players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 43% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Marijnissen appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- PraetCMRoyal Antwerp FC · Pro League€1.5M
- NielsenCMStandard Liège · Pro League€1.5M
- AugustinssonLBRSC Anderlecht · Pro League€1.5M
- SchrijversCMOud-Heverlee Leuven · Pro League€1.5M
- TraunerCBFeyenoord Rotterdam · defenders€1.5M
- KüblerRBSC Freiburg · defenders€1.5M
- WalkerRBBurnley FC · defenders€1.5M
- TrippierRBNewcastle United · defenders€1.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).