Nicolò
Savona
RBItaly · Nottingham Forest
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierPremier League
NicolòSavona
RBRight-BackDefender
- Club
- Nottingham Forest
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- Italy
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 192 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 3 Jun 2026
Premier LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Savona at €15M. Model A, which never saw Savona during training, estimates €20.3M: the market value is 26% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.35. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €14.7M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 60
- Minutes
- 4,054
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 44/60
- Min / app
- 68
- Cards
- 9Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Savona…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €15M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
23% this player0% defender median88th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €250k
- Jun 2022
- Peak
- €18M
- Mar 2026
- Model target
- €15M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 11
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €15M, Nottingham Forest. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-23 | €250k | Juventus Primavera |
| 2022-12-19 | €200k | Juventus Next Gen |
| 2023-06-19 | €250k | Juventus Next Gen |
| 2023-12-21 | €200k | Juventus Next Gen |
| 2024-06-18 | €200k | Juventus Next Gen |
| 2024-10-18 | €7M | Juventus FC |
| 2024-12-18 | €14M | Juventus FC |
| 2025-06-17 | €12M | Juventus FC |
| 2025-12-09 | €15M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2026-03-09 | €18M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2026-06-03 | €15M | Nottingham Forest |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.301
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 43% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 87% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Savona appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- AlissonGKLiverpool FC · Premier League€15M
- DijkCBLiverpool FC · Premier League€15M
- PalhinhaDMTottenham Hotspur · Premier League€15M
- BoscagliCBBrighton & Hove Albion · Premier League€15M
- ManciniCBAS Roma · defenders€15M
- NiakhatéCBOlympique Lyon · defenders€15M
- ChabotCBVfB Stuttgart · defenders€15M
- TreuRBSC Freiburg · defenders€15M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).