FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Han-beom

Lee

CBKorea, South · FC Midtjylland

№ 706963Established €6.9M −0.84

Player dossierSuperliga

Han-beomLee

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
FC Midtjylland
League
Superliga
Nationality
Korea, South
Age
23
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Lee at €3M. Model A, which never saw Lee during training, estimates €6.9M: the market value is 57% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.31. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.84A €6.9M▼ −0.56B €5.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
46
Minutes
3,325
Goals
1
Assists
5
Started
34/46
Min / app
72
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lee…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €6.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Han-beom Lee's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 46th, Assists per 90 85th, Minutes, two years 59th, Starts 33rd, Minutes, last 365 days 85th, European club minutes 93rd46thGoals85thAssists59thMinutes33rdStarts85thRecent93rdEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

28% this player0% defender median93rd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Apr 2021
Peak
€3M
May 2026
Model target
€3M
May 2026
Valuations
13
1 club change
May 2026€3MFC MidtjyllandValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3M, FC Midtjylland. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-04-02€100kFC Seoul
2021-06-22€100kFC Seoul
2021-12-26€275kFC Seoul
2022-06-18€350kFC Seoul
2022-12-27€400kFC Seoul
2023-06-23€450kFC Seoul
2023-09-19€700kFC Midtjylland
2023-12-21€1MFC Midtjylland
2024-06-10€1MFC Midtjylland
2024-12-09€1MFC Midtjylland
2025-06-16€1MFC Midtjylland
2025-12-15€1.8MFC Midtjylland
2026-05-25€3MFC Midtjylland

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.838

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 83% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 59% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Lee appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).