FairValue

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Vladislav

Saus

RMRussia · Spartak Moscow

№ 706618Established €3.4M −0.54

Player dossierPremier Liga

VladislavSaus

RMRight MidfieldMidfield

Club
Spartak Moscow
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
22
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Saus at €2M. Model A, which never saw Saus during training, estimates €3.4M: the market value is 42% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.72. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.54A €3.4M▲ +0.60B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
23
Minutes
1,713
Goals
1
Assists
2
Started
19/23
Min / app
74
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Saus…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €3.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Vladislav Saus's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 35th, Assists per 90 54th, Minutes, two years 30th, Starts 75th, Minutes, last 365 days 56th, European club minutes 30th35thGoals54thAssists30thMinutes75thStarts56thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

83% this player69% midfielder median75th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Dec 2020
Peak
€2.5M
Mar 2026
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
14
5 club changes
May 2026€2MSpartak MoscowValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, Spartak Moscow. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-12-29€25kMaster-Saturn Egorjevsk
2021-06-02€50kZenit St. Petersburg II
2021-12-24€150kZenit St. Petersburg II
2022-06-02€150kZenit St. Petersburg II
2022-12-02€175kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2023-06-26€200kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2023-11-20€225kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2024-06-14€275kShinnik Yaroslavl
2024-12-04€350kBaltika Kaliningrad
2025-06-02€500kBaltika Kaliningrad
2025-09-18€1.2MBaltika Kaliningrad
2025-12-16€1.8MBaltika Kaliningrad
2026-03-25€2.5MSpartak Moscow
2026-05-26€2MSpartak Moscow

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.542

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 65% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 46% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Saus appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).