FairValue

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Oleksiy

Sydorov

CFUkraine · Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

№ 692997Emerging €787k −2.06

Player dossierPremier Liha

OleksiySydorov

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
24
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sydorov at €100k. Model A, which never saw Sydorov during training, estimates €787k: the market value is 87% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×7.87. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €724k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −2.06A €787k▼ −1.98B €724k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
11
Minutes
607
Goals
4
Assists
0
Started
7/11
Min / app
55
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sydorov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €100kModel A €787k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Oleksiy Sydorov's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 94th, Assists per 90 6th, Minutes, two years 6th, Starts 58th, Minutes, last 365 days 1st, European club minutes 28th94thGoals6thAssists6thMinutes58thStarts1stRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.59 this player0.26 attacker median94th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Aug 2020
Peak
€400k
Dec 2023
Model target
€100k
Jun 2026
Valuations
11
3 club changes
Jun 2026€100kMetalist 1925 KharkivValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €100k, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-08-18€25kMFC Metalurg Zaporizhya
2022-08-31€50kMFC Metalurg Zaporizhya
2022-12-06€125kMFC Metalurg Zaporizhya
2023-06-21€250kMFC Metalurg Zaporizhya
2023-12-11€400kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2024-06-06€400kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2024-12-17€350kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2025-03-21€250kKolos Kovalivka
2025-06-10€250kKolos Kovalivka
2025-12-18€200kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2026-06-02€100kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−2.063

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 0% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 1% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sydorov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).