FairValue

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Portrait of Luis Henrique

Luis

Henrique

RMBrazil · Inter Milan

№ 691316Elite €34.8M −0.46

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

LuisHenrique

RMRight MidfieldMidfield

Club
Inter Milan
League
Serie A
Nationality
Brazil
Age
24
Height
181 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Henrique at €22M. Model A, which never saw Henrique during training, estimates €34.8M: the market value is 37% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.58. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €16.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.46A €34.8M▲ +0.29B €16.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
78
Minutes
5,007
Goals
8
Assists
11
Started
55/78
Min / app
64
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Henrique…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €22M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €22MModel A €34.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Luis Henrique's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 70th, Assists per 90 83rd, Minutes, two years 86th, Starts 53rd, Minutes, last 365 days 76th, European club minutes 72nd70thGoals83rdAssists86thMinutes53rdStarts76thRecent72ndEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,007 this player2,607 midfielder median86th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€4.5M
Feb 2020
Peak
€25M
Jun 2025
Model target
€22M
May 2026
Valuations
20
4 club changes
May 2026€22MInter MilanValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €22M, Inter Milan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-02-20€4.5MBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
2020-04-08€4MBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
2020-09-09€5MBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
2020-10-15€8MOlympique Marseille
2021-06-04€8MOlympique Marseille
2021-10-08€7MOlympique Marseille
2021-12-16€6MOlympique Marseille
2022-05-30€6MOlympique Marseille
2022-08-19€6MBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
2022-11-14€6MBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
2023-04-07€6MBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
2023-07-25€6MBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
2023-12-11€6MBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
2024-06-03€8MOlympique Marseille
2024-10-07€12MOlympique Marseille
2024-12-10€15MOlympique Marseille
2025-03-24€18MOlympique Marseille
2025-06-03€25MOlympique Marseille
2025-12-23€23MInter Milan
2026-05-29€22MInter Milan

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.458

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 85% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€22MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 90% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€22MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Henrique appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).