Kirill
Danilin
RWRussia · Torpedo Moscow
Player dossierPremier Liga
KirillDanilin
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Torpedo Moscow
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Russia
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 170 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 3 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Danilin at €600k. Model A, which never saw Danilin during training, estimates €661k: the market value is 9% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €835k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 33
- Minutes
- 1,994
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 21/33
- Min / app
- 60
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Danilin…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
64% this player59% attacker median58th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Jun 2020
- Peak
- €700k
- Sept 2024
- Model target
- €600k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 9
- 3 club changes
Dec 2025: €600k, Torpedo Moscow. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-06-29 | €25k | Rodina Moscow |
| 2022-12-02 | €150k | Chernomorets Novorossijsk |
| 2023-06-26 | €175k | Chernomorets Novorossijsk |
| 2023-11-30 | €175k | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2024-06-14 | €500k | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2024-09-18 | €700k | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2024-12-12 | €700k | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2025-06-04 | €700k | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2025-12-03 | €600k | Torpedo Moscow |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.096
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 19% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 19% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Danilin appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- LeshchukGKDynamo Moscow · Premier Liga€600k
- TimofeevDMLokomotiv Moscow · Premier Liga€600k
- VasyutinGKAkron Tolyatti · Premier Liga€600k
- SutorminRWKrylya Sovetov Samara · Premier Liga€600k
- PavolettiCFCagliari Calcio · attackers€600k
- GhezzalRWOlympique Lyon · attackers€600k
- ManéRWKayserispor · attackers€600k
- CerriCFComo 1907 · attackers€600k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).