FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Allan

Godói

CBBrazil · Göztepe

№ 681814Emerging €540k −1.69

Player dossierSüper Lig

AllanGodói

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Göztepe
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Brazil
Age
33
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Godói at €100k. Model A, which never saw Godói during training, estimates €540k: the market value is 81% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×5.40. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €461k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −1.69A €540k▼ −1.53B €461k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
27
Minutes
1,854
Goals
0
Assists
2
Started
20/27
Min / app
69
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Godói…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €100kModel A €540k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Allan Godói's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 76th, Minutes, two years 31st, Starts 33rd, Minutes, last 365 days 56th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals76thAssists31stMinutes33rdStarts56thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.10 this player0.04 defender median76th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Aug 2021
Peak
€100k
Aug 2021
Model target
€100k
May 2026
Valuations
7
2 club changes
May 2026€100kGöztepeValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €100k, Göztepe. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-08-12€100kSampaio Corrêa FC (MA)
2022-08-05€100kSampaio Corrêa FC (MA)
2024-04-18€100kOperário Ferroviário Esporte Clube (PR)
2024-11-27€100kOperário Ferroviário Esporte Clube (PR)
2025-06-27€100kOperário Ferroviário Esporte Clube (PR)
2025-12-17€100kGöztepe
2026-05-21€100kGöztepe

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−1.686

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 1% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 1% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Godói appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).