Philip
Otele
LWNigeria · Hamburger SV
Player dossierBundesliga
PhilipOtele
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- Hamburger SV
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Nigeria
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 178 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Otele at €4M. Model A, which never saw Otele during training, estimates €3.4M: the market value is 19% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 18
- Minutes
- 1,101
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 14/18
- Min / app
- 61
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Otele…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
57% this player0% attacker median99th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Apr 2020
- Peak
- €5M
- Oct 2025
- Model target
- €4M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 16
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €4M, Hamburger SV. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-04-02 | €50k | FK Kauno Zalgiris |
| 2020-08-10 | €150k | FK Kauno Zalgiris |
| 2021-12-07 | €300k | FK Kauno Zalgiris |
| 2022-06-03 | €450k | UTA Arad |
| 2022-09-30 | €550k | UTA Arad |
| 2022-12-21 | €650k | UTA Arad |
| 2023-06-15 | €650k | UTA Arad |
| 2023-09-28 | €800k | CFR Cluj |
| 2023-12-22 | €1M | CFR Cluj |
| 2024-03-22 | €1.5M | CFR Cluj |
| 2024-06-05 | €2.5M | CFR Cluj |
| 2024-11-18 | €2M | Al-Wahda FC |
| 2025-06-10 | €4M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2025-10-02 | €5M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2025-12-29 | €5M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2026-05-27 | €4M | Hamburger SV |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.177
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 39% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 59% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Otele appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- NeuerGKBayern Munich · Bundesliga€4M
- SüleCBBorussia Dortmund · Bundesliga€4M
- GrifoLWSC Freiburg · Bundesliga€4M
- ZettererGKEintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga€4M
- IcardiCFGalatasaray · attackers€4M
- WilsonCFWest Ham United · attackers€4M
- TraoréRWSunderland AFC · attackers€4M
- ElyounoussiSSFC Copenhagen · attackers€4M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).