FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Volodymyr

Brazhko

DMUkraine · Dynamo Kyiv

№ 669306Elite €4.3M +0.86

Player dossierPremier Liha

VolodymyrBrazhko

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Dynamo Kyiv
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
24
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Brazhko at €10M. Model A, which never saw Brazhko during training, estimates €4.3M: the market value is 135% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.35. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €9.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.86A €4.3M▲ +0.07B €9.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
70
Minutes
4,648
Goals
9
Assists
6
Started
48/70
Min / app
66
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Brazhko…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €10MModel A €4.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Volodymyr Brazhko's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 78th, Assists per 90 58th, Minutes, two years 83rd, Starts 49th, Minutes, last 365 days 67th, European club minutes 91st78thGoals58thAssists83rdMinutes49thStarts67thRecent91stEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

25% this player0% midfielder median91st percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Oct 2020
Peak
€12M
Mar 2025
Model target
€10M
Jun 2026
Valuations
16
3 club changes
Jun 2026€10MDynamo KyivValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €10M, Dynamo Kyiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-10-19€50kDynamo Kyiv II
2021-01-14€50kDynamo Kyiv II
2021-06-07€100kDynamo Kyiv II
2021-12-20€100kDynamo Kyiv U19
2022-05-18€100kDynamo Kyiv U19
2022-12-06€500kZorya Lugansk
2023-06-21€1.5MZorya Lugansk
2023-12-11€2MDynamo Kyiv
2024-03-18€2.5MDynamo Kyiv
2024-06-06€5MDynamo Kyiv
2024-09-12€7MDynamo Kyiv
2024-12-17€9MDynamo Kyiv
2025-03-21€12MDynamo Kyiv
2025-06-10€12MDynamo Kyiv
2025-12-18€10MDynamo Kyiv
2026-06-02€10MDynamo Kyiv

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.855

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Joint 6th highest observed value among 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 78% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Brazhko appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).