Habib
Keïta
CMMali · Kocaelispor
Player dossierSüper Lig
HabibKeïta
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Kocaelispor
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Mali
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 182 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Süper LigReading the valuation
The market values Keïta at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Keïta during training, estimates €1.5M: the market value is 63% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.63. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 28
- Minutes
- 2,053
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 24/28
- Min / app
- 73
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Keïta…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
86% this player69% midfielder median80th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €300k
- Aug 2021
- Peak
- €2.5M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €2.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 13
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €2.5M, Kocaelispor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-08-06 | €300k | Olympique Lyon |
| 2021-10-08 | €500k | Olympique Lyon |
| 2021-12-16 | €1M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2022-05-30 | €800k | Olympique Lyon |
| 2022-11-04 | €800k | KV Kortrijk |
| 2023-06-09 | €650k | KV Kortrijk |
| 2023-10-16 | €800k | Clermont Foot 63 |
| 2023-12-18 | €800k | Clermont Foot 63 |
| 2024-06-03 | €1M | Clermont Foot 63 |
| 2024-12-04 | €1.5M | Clermont Foot 63 |
| 2025-06-02 | €1.5M | Clermont Foot 63 |
| 2025-12-17 | €1.8M | Kocaelispor |
| 2026-05-21 | €2.5M | Kocaelispor |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.488
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 68% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Keïta appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BénesCMKayserispor · Süper Lig€2.5M
- KemenCMBasaksehir FK · Süper Lig€2.5M
- BardhiAMKonyaspor · Süper Lig€2.5M
- DuarteCBBasaksehir FK · Süper Lig€2.5M
- EriksenAMVfL Wolfsburg · midfielders€2.5M
- GroßCMBrighton & Hove Albion · midfielders€2.5M
- BuyalskyiAMDynamo Kyiv · midfielders€2.5M
- TouréDMLe Havre AC · midfielders€2.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).