Arseniy
Batagov
CBUkraine · Trabzonspor
Player dossierSüper Lig
ArseniyBatagov
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Trabzonspor
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Ukraine
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Süper LigReading the valuation
The market values Batagov at €11M. Model A, which never saw Batagov during training, estimates €4.6M: the market value is 140% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.40. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 43
- Minutes
- 3,825
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 43/43
- Min / app
- 89
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Batagov…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €11M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player83% defender median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Jun 2019
- Peak
- €11M
- Mar 2026
- Model target
- €11M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 21
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €11M, Trabzonspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-06-16 | €150k | SC Dnipro-1 |
| 2020-01-08 | €300k | SC Dnipro-1 |
| 2020-09-04 | €400k | SC Dnipro-1 |
| 2021-01-14 | €300k | SC Dnipro-1 |
| 2021-06-07 | €400k | SC Dnipro-1 |
| 2021-12-20 | €400k | SC Dnipro-1 |
| 2022-05-18 | €400k | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 2022-12-06 | €1M | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2023-03-28 | €1.2M | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2023-06-21 | €2M | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2023-12-11 | €1.8M | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2024-03-18 | €2M | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2024-06-06 | €2M | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2024-10-04 | €2.8M | Trabzonspor |
| 2024-12-23 | €2.8M | Trabzonspor |
| 2025-03-20 | €3.5M | Trabzonspor |
| 2025-06-18 | €4.5M | Trabzonspor |
| 2025-10-01 | €7M | Trabzonspor |
| 2025-12-17 | €9M | Trabzonspor |
| 2026-03-05 | €11M | Trabzonspor |
| 2026-05-21 | €11M | Trabzonspor |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.876
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 93% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 83% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Batagov appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- MuciAMTrabzonspor · Süper Lig€11M
- PinaRBTrabzonspor · Süper Lig€11M
- BrownLBFenerbahce · Süper Lig€12M
- JuanCFGöztepe · Süper Lig€12M
- BednarekCBFC Porto · defenders€11M
- PirolaCBOlympiacos Piraeus · defenders€11M
- AkéCBManchester City · defenders€12M
- StonesCBManchester City · defenders€12M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).