FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Portrait of Julio Enciso

Julio

Enciso

AMParaguay · RC Strasbourg Alsace

№ 660867Elite €15.1M +0.51

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLigue 1

JulioEnciso

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
RC Strasbourg Alsace
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Paraguay
Age
22
Height
173 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Enciso at €25M. Model A, which never saw Enciso during training, estimates €15.1M: the market value is 66% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.66. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.51A €15.1M▲ +1.33B €6.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
54
Minutes
3,193
Goals
6
Assists
10
Started
38/54
Min / app
59
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Enciso…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €25M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €25MModel A €15.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Julio Enciso's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 76th, Assists per 90 95th, Minutes, two years 60th, Starts 52nd, Minutes, last 365 days 61st, European club minutes 30th76thGoals95thAssists60thMinutes52ndStarts61stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.28 this player0.09 midfielder median95th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Mar 2020
Peak
€25M
Jun 2026
Model target
€25M
Jun 2026
Valuations
15
4 club changes
Jun 2026€25MRC Strasbourg AlsaceValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €25M, RC Strasbourg Alsace. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-03-02€250kUnknown
2020-10-14€500kUnknown
2021-02-04€800kClub Libertad Asunción
2021-06-11€5.5MClub Libertad Asunción
2021-12-09€5.5MClub Libertad Asunción
2022-06-15€11MClub Libertad Asunción
2022-11-03€11MBrighton & Hove Albion
2023-06-20€22MBrighton & Hove Albion
2023-12-19€22MBrighton & Hove Albion
2024-05-27€22MBrighton & Hove Albion
2024-12-16€22MBrighton & Hove Albion
2025-05-30€22MIpswich Town
2025-12-15€20MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2026-03-27€22MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2026-06-01€25MRC Strasbourg Alsace

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.506

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 89% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€25MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 91% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€25MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Enciso appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).