Nika
Gagnidze
CMGeorgia · Kolos Kovalivka
Player dossierPremier Liha
NikaGagnidze
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Kolos Kovalivka
- League
- Premier Liha
- Nationality
- Georgia
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 180 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 2 Jun 2026
Premier LihaReading the valuation
The market values Gagnidze at €900k. Model A, which never saw Gagnidze during training, estimates €881k: the market value is 2% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 48
- Minutes
- 4,069
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 6
- Started
- 44/48
- Min / app
- 85
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gagnidze…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
92% this player69% midfielder median89th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- May 2019
- Peak
- €900k
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €900k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 18
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €900k, Kolos Kovalivka. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-05-05 | €25k | FC Dila Gori |
| 2019-09-05 | €25k | FC Dila Gori |
| 2020-01-04 | €100k | FC Dila Gori |
| 2020-08-06 | €100k | FC Dila Gori |
| 2020-12-11 | €150k | FC Dila Gori |
| 2021-05-01 | €275k | FC Dila Gori |
| 2021-10-01 | €275k | FC Dila Gori |
| 2021-12-18 | €375k | FC Dila Gori |
| 2022-05-05 | €400k | FC Dila Gori |
| 2022-10-27 | €400k | Ümraniyespor |
| 2023-05-25 | €350k | FC Dila Gori |
| 2023-09-01 | €350k | FC Dila Gori |
| 2023-12-12 | €350k | FC Dila Gori |
| 2024-05-22 | €500k | FC Dila Gori |
| 2024-12-17 | €500k | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 2025-06-10 | €600k | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 2025-12-18 | €900k | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 2026-06-02 | €900k | Kolos Kovalivka |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.021
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liha414 players · median €400k
Valued above 75% of the 414 Premier Liha players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 30% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Gagnidze appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- LytvynenkoDMMetalist 1925 Kharkiv · Premier Liha€900k
- DrambayevLBLNZ Cherkasy · Premier Liha€900k
- TellesDMKolos Kovalivka · Premier Liha€900k
- SaputinGKZorya Lugansk · Premier Liha€900k
- BittencourtCMSV Werder Bremen · midfielders€900k
- SafuriCMAntalyaspor · midfielders€900k
- BjørloCMKonyaspor · midfielders€900k
- MendelDMBaltika Kaliningrad · midfielders€900k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).