FairValue

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Yusuf

Özdemir

LMTürkiye · Alanyaspor

№ 652426Established €3.7M −0.27

Player dossierSüper Lig

YusufÖzdemir

LMLeft MidfieldMidfield

Club
Alanyaspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
24
Height
181 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
1 Oct 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Özdemir at €2.8M. Model A, which never saw Özdemir during training, estimates €3.7M: the market value is 24% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.31. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.27A €3.7M▼ −0.78B €6.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
67
Minutes
5,059
Goals
8
Assists
5
Started
58/67
Min / app
76
Cards
14Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Özdemir…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.8MModel A €3.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Yusuf Özdemir's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 70th, Assists per 90 48th, Minutes, two years 87th, Starts 81st, Minutes, last 365 days 85th, European club minutes 30th70thGoals48thAssists87thMinutes81stStarts85thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,059 this player2,607 midfielder median87th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Oct 2020
Peak
€2.8M
Oct 2025
Model target
€2.8M
Oct 2025
Valuations
17
3 club changes
Oct 2025€2.8MAlanyasporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Oct 2025: €2.8M, Alanyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-10-06€50kAlanyaspor U19
2021-07-07€100kAlanyaspor
2021-10-12€100kAlanyaspor
2022-01-04€100kAlanyaspor
2022-06-20€125kInegölspor
2022-10-27€400kAlanyaspor
2023-03-14€950kAlanyaspor
2023-06-08€1.6MAlanyaspor
2023-09-27€2MAlanyaspor
2023-12-21€1.8MAlanyaspor
2024-03-15€1.7MAlanyaspor
2024-05-31€2MAlanyaspor
2024-10-04€2.6MAlanyaspor
2024-12-23€2.4MAlanyaspor
2025-03-20€2.6MAlanyaspor
2025-06-18€2.6MAlanyaspor
2025-10-01€2.8MAlanyaspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.270

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 72% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€2.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 55% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Özdemir appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).