FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Portrait of Boubacar Traoré

Boubacar

Traoré

DMMali · FC Metz

№ 649020Established €2.6M +0.45

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLigue 1

BoubacarTraoré

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
FC Metz
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Mali
Age
24
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Traoré at €4M. Model A, which never saw Traoré during training, estimates €2.6M: the market value is 57% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.57. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.45A €2.6M▲ +0.96B €1.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
23
Minutes
1,472
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
17/23
Min / app
64
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Traoré…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4MModel A €2.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Boubacar Traoré's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 39th, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 25th, Starts 59th, Minutes, last 365 days 45th, European club minutes 30th39thGoals8thAssists25thMinutes59thStarts45thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

74% this player69% midfielder median59th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
May 2019
Peak
€6M
Dec 2023
Model target
€4M
Jun 2026
Valuations
16
3 club changes
Jun 2026€4MFC MetzValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €4M, FC Metz. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-05-23€100kUnknown
2019-12-19€150kFC Metz
2020-10-15€150kFC Metz
2021-06-04€150kFC Metz
2021-10-08€800kFC Metz
2021-12-16€1.2MFC Metz
2022-05-30€1.8MFC Metz
2022-09-15€4MWolverhampton Wanderers
2022-11-03€5MWolverhampton Wanderers
2023-06-20€5MWolverhampton Wanderers
2023-12-19€6MWolverhampton Wanderers
2024-05-27€6MWolverhampton Wanderers
2024-12-16€6MWolverhampton Wanderers
2025-05-30€5MWolverhampton Wanderers
2025-12-15€5MFC Metz
2026-06-01€4MFC Metz

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.448

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 37% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 61% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Traoré appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).