FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Enis

Cokaj

DMAlbania · Levadiakos

№ 644244Emerging €1.3M −0.27

Player dossierSuper League

EnisCokaj

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Levadiakos
League
Super League
Nationality
Albania
Age
27
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Cokaj at €1M. Model A, which never saw Cokaj during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 24% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.31. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.27A €1.3M▼ −0.53B €1.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
54
Minutes
4,360
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
49/54
Min / app
81
Cards
16Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cokaj…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €1.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Enis Cokaj's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 79th, Starts 87th, Minutes, last 365 days 80th, European club minutes 30th10thGoals17thAssists79thMinutes87thStarts80thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

91% this player69% midfielder median87th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Sept 2019
Peak
€1.2M
Dec 2021
Model target
€1M
Jun 2026
Valuations
16
3 club changes
Jun 2026€1MLevadiakosValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1M, Levadiakos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-09-16€150kNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2019-12-27€600kNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2020-04-08€525kNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2020-07-27€850kNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2020-12-28€850kNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2021-06-10€850kNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2021-12-30€1.2MNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2022-06-06€1.2MNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2022-11-07€1.2MPanathinaikos
2023-05-22€1.2MPanathinaikos
2023-12-20€1MPanathinaikos
2024-06-04€850kNK Osijek
2024-12-18€800kLevadiakos
2025-05-23€800kLevadiakos
2025-12-12€900kLevadiakos
2026-06-04€1MLevadiakos

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.273

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 67% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 32% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Cokaj appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).