FairValue

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Damian van der

Haar

CBNetherlands · PEC Zwolle

№ 640558Emerging €499k −0.22

Player dossierEredivisie

Damian van derHaar

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
PEC Zwolle
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
22
Height
187 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Haar at €400k. Model A, which never saw Haar during training, estimates €499k: the market value is 20% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.25. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.22A €499k▼ −1.16B €1.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
32
Minutes
1,852
Goals
2
Assists
2
Started
22/32
Min / app
58
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Haar…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €499k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Damian van der Haar's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 86th, Assists per 90 76th, Minutes, two years 31st, Starts 25th, Minutes, last 365 days 2nd, European club minutes 30th86thGoals76thAssists31stMinutes25thStarts2ndRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.10 this player0.03 defender median86th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Mar 2024
Peak
€650k
Dec 2024
Model target
€400k
May 2026
Valuations
7
0 club changes
May 2026€400kPEC ZwolleValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €400k, PEC Zwolle. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2024-03-13€150kPEC Zwolle
2024-05-31€200kPEC Zwolle
2024-10-14€425kPEC Zwolle
2024-12-17€650kPEC Zwolle
2025-05-28€600kPEC Zwolle
2025-12-02€500kPEC Zwolle
2026-05-28€400kPEC Zwolle

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.222

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 18% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 14% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Haar appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).