FairValue

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Salih

Kavrazlı

LWTürkiye · Adana Demirspor

№ 633434Emerging €751k −1.61

Player dossierSüper Lig

SalihKavrazlı

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Adana Demirspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
23
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Kavrazlı at €150k. Model A, which never saw Kavrazlı during training, estimates €751k: the market value is 80% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×5.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €761k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −1.61A €751k▼ −1.62B €761k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
16
Minutes
692
Goals
4
Assists
1
Started
8/16
Min / app
43
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kavrazlı…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €150k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €150kModel A €751k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Salih Kavrazlı's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 90th, Assists per 90 43rd, Minutes, two years 9th, Starts 35th, Minutes, last 365 days 14th, European club minutes 28th90thGoals43rdAssists9thMinutes35thStarts14thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.52 this player0.26 attacker median90th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jun 2019
Peak
€175k
Oct 2024
Model target
€150k
Dec 2025
Valuations
19
6 club changes
Dec 2025€150kAdana DemirsporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €150k, Adana Demirspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-06-19€50kAltinordu FK U17
2020-01-03€50kTrabzonspor
2020-08-04€50kTrabzonspor
2020-12-23€50kTrabzonspor
2021-05-31€100kHekimoglu Trabzon
2021-10-12€100kTrabzonspor
2022-01-04€125kTrabzonspor
2022-03-31€125kTrabzonspor
2022-06-01€125kTrabzonspor
2022-10-27€125kAdana Demirspor
2023-03-14€100kAdana Demirspor
2023-06-08€100kAdana Demirspor
2023-12-29€150kNazilli Belediyespor
2024-06-03€150kNazilli Belediyespor
2024-10-04€175kAdana Demirspor
2024-12-23€150kAdana Demirspor
2025-03-20€150kAdana Demirspor
2025-06-18€150kAdana Demirspor
2025-12-29€150kAdana Demirspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−1.611

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 4% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 2% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kavrazlı appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).