FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Ajdi

Dajko

CBAlbania · LNZ Cherkasy

№ 628329Emerging €725k −0.19

Player dossierPremier Liha

AjdiDajko

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
LNZ Cherkasy
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Albania
Age
23
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Dajko at €600k. Model A, which never saw Dajko during training, estimates €725k: the market value is 17% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.19A €725k▼ −1.17B €1.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
35
Minutes
2,649
Goals
1
Assists
2
Started
30/35
Min / app
76
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dajko…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €725k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Ajdi Dajko's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 52nd, Assists per 90 66th, Minutes, two years 46th, Starts 57th, Minutes, last 365 days 12th, European club minutes 30th52ndGoals66thAssists46thMinutes57thStarts12thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.07 this player0.04 defender median66th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Feb 2022
Peak
€600k
Jun 2025
Model target
€600k
Jun 2026
Valuations
12
3 club changes
Jun 2026€600kLNZ CherkasyValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €600k, LNZ Cherkasy. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-02-22€50kAsteras Tripolis
2022-06-09€50kAsteras Tripolis
2023-02-27€100kAEK Athens B
2023-06-19€100kAEK Athens B
2023-10-26€250kKF Laçi
2023-12-29€250kKF Laçi
2024-05-27€300kKF Laçi
2024-09-12€400kLNZ Cherkasy
2024-12-17€500kLNZ Cherkasy
2025-06-10€600kLNZ Cherkasy
2025-12-18€600kLNZ Cherkasy
2026-06-02€600kLNZ Cherkasy

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.189

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 61% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 22% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Dajko appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).