Lautaro

Valenti

CBArgentina · Parma Calcio 1913

№ 625202Established €5M −0.92

Player dossierSerie A

LautaroValenti

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club: Parma Calcio 1913
League: Serie A
Nationality: Argentina
Age: 27
Height: 188 cm
Foot: Left
Valued: 29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Valenti at €2M. Model A, which never saw Valenti during training, estimates €5M: the market value is 60% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.52. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 48
Minutes: 3,898
Goals: 1
Assists: 0
Started: 44/48
Min / app: 81
Cards: 13Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Valenti…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

92% this player83% defender median75th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €250k; Aug 2019
Peak: €5M; Oct 2020
Model target: €2M; May 2026
Valuations: 16; 1 club change

May 2026€2MParma Calcio 1913Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, Parma Calcio 1913. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2019-08-06	€250k	CA Lanús
2019-12-05	€3M	CA Lanús
2020-04-08	€2.7M	CA Lanús
2020-10-29	€5M	Parma Calcio 1913
2020-12-29	€4.8M	Parma Calcio 1913
2021-06-03	€4.5M	Parma Calcio 1913
2021-12-29	€3.8M	Parma Calcio 1913
2022-06-06	€3M	Parma Calcio 1913
2022-12-22	€3M	Parma Calcio 1913
2023-06-12	€3M	Parma Calcio 1913
2023-12-27	€3M	Parma Calcio 1913
2024-06-03	€1.8M	Parma Calcio 1913
2024-12-18	€1.5M	Parma Calcio 1913
2025-06-17	€1.5M	Parma Calcio 1913
2025-12-23	€1.5M	Parma Calcio 1913
2026-05-29	€2M	Parma Calcio 1913

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: −0.923

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 20% of the 507 Serie A players.

See them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Valenti appears

TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).