FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
  • EnvironmentTerminalExplore, compare and track players; market, league and model views.
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  • TerminalPlayer ExplorerSearch, filter and sort the player export.
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  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

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Triantafyllos

Tsapras

RBGreece · Levadiakos

№ 623561Emerging €1.9M −0.24

Player dossierSuper League

TriantafyllosTsapras

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Levadiakos
League
Super League
Nationality
Greece
Age
24
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Tsapras at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Tsapras during training, estimates €1.9M: the market value is 21% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.27. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.24A €1.9M▼ −0.12B €1.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
53
Minutes
4,615
Goals
2
Assists
13
Started
51/53
Min / app
87
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Tsapras…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Triantafyllos Tsapras's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 56th, Assists per 90 98th, Minutes, two years 78th, Starts 87th, Minutes, last 365 days 83rd, European club minutes 30th56thGoals98thAssists78thMinutes87thStarts83rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.25 this player0.04 defender median98th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Mar 2021
Peak
€1.5M
Jun 2026
Model target
€1.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
16
0 club changes
Jun 2026€1.5MLevadiakosValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.5M, Levadiakos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-03-08€50kLevadiakos
2021-05-21€100kLevadiakos
2021-12-28€150kLevadiakos
2022-06-27€250kLevadiakos
2022-11-07€350kLevadiakos
2023-02-27€400kLevadiakos
2023-05-22€450kLevadiakos
2023-09-21€400kLevadiakos
2023-12-28€400kLevadiakos
2024-05-23€450kLevadiakos
2024-12-18€450kLevadiakos
2025-05-23€500kLevadiakos
2025-09-23€700kLevadiakos
2025-12-12€1MLevadiakos
2026-03-06€1.2MLevadiakos
2026-06-04€1.5MLevadiakos

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.236

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 73% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 43% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Tsapras appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).