Fran
Pérez
RWSpain · Rayo Vallecano
Player dossierLaLiga
FranPérez
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Rayo Vallecano
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 176 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Pérez at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Pérez during training, estimates €5.5M: the market value is 54% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.9M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 64
- Minutes
- 2,477
- Goals
- 5
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 25/64
- Min / app
- 39
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pérez…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
5% this player0% attacker median64th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Dec 2020
- Peak
- €8M
- Dec 2023
- Model target
- €2.5M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 14
- 2 club changes
Jun 2026: €2.5M, Rayo Vallecano. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-12-08 | €100k | Valencia Mestalla |
| 2021-01-08 | €100k | Valencia Mestalla |
| 2021-06-30 | €100k | Valencia Mestalla |
| 2022-09-26 | €100k | Valencia Mestalla |
| 2022-12-29 | €150k | Valencia Mestalla |
| 2023-06-30 | €500k | Valencia Mestalla |
| 2023-10-13 | €5M | Valencia CF |
| 2023-12-22 | €8M | Valencia CF |
| 2024-06-07 | €8M | Valencia CF |
| 2024-10-11 | €6M | Valencia CF |
| 2024-12-27 | €4M | Valencia CF |
| 2025-06-09 | €3M | Valencia CF |
| 2025-12-12 | €3M | Rayo Vallecano |
| 2026-06-05 | €2.5M | Rayo Vallecano |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.783
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 48% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Pérez appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- MorenoCFVillarreal CF · LaLiga€2.5M
- LópezCMRayo Vallecano · LaLiga€2.5M
- TorróDMCA Osasuna · LaLiga€2.5M
- PickelDMRCD Espanyol Barcelona · LaLiga€2.5M
- KramaricSSTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · attackers€2.5M
- AubameyangCFOlympique Marseille · attackers€2.5M
- ZapataCFTorino FC · attackers€2.5M
- PléaCFPSV Eindhoven · attackers€2.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).