Robin
Hranac
CBCzech Republic · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Player dossierBundesliga
RobinHranac
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Czech Republic
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 189 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Hranac at €10M. Model A, which never saw Hranac during training, estimates €14.9M: the market value is 33% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.49. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 39
- Minutes
- 3,002
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 34/39
- Min / app
- 77
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hranac…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
12% this player0% defender median75th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Oct 2021
- Peak
- €10M
- Mar 2026
- Model target
- €10M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 17
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €10M, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-12 | €150k | Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas |
| 2021-12-26 | €175k | Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas |
| 2022-06-22 | €225k | FK Pardubice |
| 2022-12-14 | €250k | FK Pardubice |
| 2023-06-20 | €350k | FK Pardubice |
| 2023-09-20 | €600k | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2023-12-20 | €1.7M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2024-03-27 | €3.5M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2024-06-05 | €5M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2024-10-09 | €8M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2024-12-20 | €5.5M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2025-03-27 | €3.5M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2025-06-05 | €3.5M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2025-10-14 | €5M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2025-12-19 | €7M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2026-03-20 | €10M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2026-05-27 | €10M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.397
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 65% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 81% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Hranac appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- FriedlCBSV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga€10M
- EggesteinCMSC Freiburg · Bundesliga€10M
- SchlagerCMRB Leipzig · Bundesliga€10M
- LienhartCBSC Freiburg · Bundesliga€10M
- ŠkriniarCBFenerbahce · defenders€10M
- RrahmaniCBSSC Napoli · defenders€10M
- Maitland-NilesRBOlympique Lyon · defenders€10M
- FaesCBAS Monaco · defenders€10M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).