Iurie
Iovu
CBMoldova · Dundee United FC
Player dossierPremiership
IurieIovu
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Dundee United FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- Moldova
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 196 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
PremiershipReading the valuation
The market values Iovu at €400k. Model A, which never saw Iovu during training, estimates €997k: the market value is 60% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.49. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 30
- Minutes
- 2,444
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 30/30
- Min / app
- 81
- Cards
- 10Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Iovu…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player83% defender median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jun 2021
- Peak
- €450k
- Dec 2024
- Model target
- €400k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 11
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €400k, Dundee United FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-30 | €50k | Cagliari Primavera |
| 2022-06-23 | €100k | Cagliari Primavera |
| 2022-11-08 | €50k | NK Istra 1961 |
| 2023-06-06 | €100k | NK Istra 1961 |
| 2023-12-18 | €150k | NK Istra 1961 |
| 2024-06-04 | €300k | NK Istra 1961 |
| 2024-12-23 | €450k | NK Istra 1961 |
| 2025-06-25 | €400k | Deportivo Alavés B |
| 2025-10-08 | €300k | Dundee United FC |
| 2025-12-10 | €300k | Dundee United FC |
| 2026-05-20 | €400k | Dundee United FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.914
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 50% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 14% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Iovu appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- WrightRWDundee FC · Premiership€400k
- KentCBHeart of Midlothian FC · Premiership€400k
- DhandaAMDundee FC · Premiership€400k
- HamiltonCMDundee FC · Premiership€400k
- YoungRBIpswich Town · defenders€400k
- LovrenCBPAOK Thessaloniki · defenders€400k
- VogtCBVfL Bochum · defenders€400k
- SavicCBTrabzonspor · defenders€400k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).