Ethan
Hamilton
CMScotland · Dundee FC
Player dossierPremiership
EthanHamilton
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Dundee FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- Scotland
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Hamilton at €400k. Model A, which never saw Hamilton during training, estimates €433k: the market value is 8% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €607k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 32
- Minutes
- 2,909
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 32/32
- Min / app
- 91
- Cards
- 9Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hamilton…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player69% midfielder median99th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €300k
- Jun 2021
- Peak
- €500k
- Jul 2022
- Model target
- €400k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 10
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €400k, Dundee FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-30 | €300k | Peterborough United |
| 2022-07-29 | €500k | Accrington Stanley |
| 2023-04-05 | €350k | Accrington Stanley |
| 2023-06-09 | €250k | Accrington Stanley |
| 2023-12-27 | €450k | Lincoln City |
| 2024-06-28 | €450k | Lincoln City |
| 2024-12-27 | €400k | Lincoln City |
| 2025-06-18 | €400k | Lincoln City |
| 2025-12-10 | €400k | Dundee FC |
| 2026-05-20 | €400k | Dundee FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.079
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 50% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 12% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Hamilton appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- WrightRWDundee FC · Premiership€400k
- KentCBHeart of Midlothian FC · Premiership€400k
- DhandaAMDundee FC · Premiership€400k
- TammCFLivingston FC · Premiership€400k
- WassCMBröndby IF · midfielders€400k
- CheryAMNEC Nijmegen · midfielders€400k
- BrasanacCMMálaga CF · midfielders€400k
- BruggenDMCercle Brugge · midfielders€400k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).