FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Sem

Scheperman

DMNetherlands · Heracles Almelo

№ 618083Emerging €464k +0.26

Player dossierEredivisie

SemScheperman

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Heracles Almelo
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
23
Height
188 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Scheperman at €600k. Model A, which never saw Scheperman during training, estimates €464k: the market value is 29% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.26A €464k▼ −0.98B €1.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
41
Minutes
2,902
Goals
3
Assists
2
Started
31/41
Min / app
71
Cards
11Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Scheperman…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €464k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Sem Scheperman's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 54th, Assists per 90 35th, Minutes, two years 56th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 36th, European club minutes 30th54thGoals35thAssists56thMinutes62ndStarts36thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

76% this player69% midfielder median62nd percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Mar 2022
Peak
€900k
May 2025
Model target
€600k
May 2026
Valuations
11
0 club changes
May 2026€600kHeracles AlmeloValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €600k, Heracles Almelo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-03-17€25kHeracles Almelo
2022-06-08€25kHeracles Almelo
2022-10-12€100kHeracles Almelo
2023-07-04€150kHeracles Almelo
2023-12-15€250kHeracles Almelo
2024-05-31€300kHeracles Almelo
2024-12-17€300kHeracles Almelo
2025-03-28€600kHeracles Almelo
2025-05-28€900kHeracles Almelo
2025-12-02€700kHeracles Almelo
2026-05-28€600kHeracles Almelo

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.256

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 28% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 20% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Scheperman appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).