FairValue

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Stanislav

Agkatsev

GKRussia · FC Krasnodar

№ 617520Elite €7.6M +0.45

Player dossierPremier Liga

StanislavAgkatsev

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
FC Krasnodar
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
24
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Agkatsev at €12M. Model A, which never saw Agkatsev during training, estimates €7.6M: the market value is 57% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.57. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.45A €7.6M▲ +0.90B €4.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
70
Minutes
6,300
Started
70/70
Min / app
90
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Agkatsev…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €12MModel A €7.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Stanislav Agkatsev's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 88th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 86th, European club minutes 32nd88thMinutes62ndStarts86thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

6,300 this player2,790 goalkeeper median88th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,210

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jun 2019
Peak
€12M
May 2026
Model target
€12M
May 2026
Valuations
21
2 club changes
May 2026€12MFC KrasnodarValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €12M, FC Krasnodar. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-06-14€50kFC Krasnodar II
2019-09-12€100kFC Krasnodar II
2019-12-23€200kFC Krasnodar II
2020-06-29€225kFC Krasnodar II
2020-12-29€275kFC Krasnodar 2
2021-04-13€400kFC Krasnodar 2
2021-06-02€450kFC Krasnodar 2
2021-09-15€500kFC Krasnodar 2
2021-12-07€550kFC Krasnodar 2
2022-06-02€600kFC Krasnodar
2022-11-21€600kFC Krasnodar
2023-06-14€1MFC Krasnodar
2023-12-13€1MFC Krasnodar
2024-06-04€1MFC Krasnodar
2024-09-18€2MFC Krasnodar
2024-12-12€3.5MFC Krasnodar
2025-03-19€5MFC Krasnodar
2025-06-04€7.5MFC Krasnodar
2025-09-18€8MFC Krasnodar
2025-12-16€10MFC Krasnodar
2026-05-26€12MFC Krasnodar

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.450

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 96% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 90% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Agkatsev appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).