Nuno
Mendes
Player dossierLigue 1
NunoMendes
LBLeft-BackDefender
- Club
- Paris Saint-Germain
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Portugal
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 177 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Mendes at €80M. Model A, which never saw Mendes during training, estimates €42.1M: the market value is 90% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.90. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €30.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 86
- Minutes
- 6,460
- Goals
- 12
- Assists
- 12
- Started
- 73/86
- Min / app
- 75
- Cards
- 13Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mendes…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €80M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
52% this player0% defender median99th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €7M
- Aug 2020
- Peak
- €80M
- Jun 2026
- Model target
- €80M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 18
- 1 club change
Jun 2026: €80M, Paris Saint-Germain. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-08-17 | €7M | Sporting CP |
| 2020-10-22 | €12M | Sporting CP |
| 2021-01-28 | €17M | Sporting CP |
| 2021-03-25 | €25M | Sporting CP |
| 2021-06-01 | €40M | Sporting CP |
| 2021-12-16 | €40M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2022-05-30 | €40M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2022-09-19 | €50M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2022-11-02 | €60M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2023-03-27 | €65M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2023-06-27 | €65M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2023-12-18 | €60M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2024-06-03 | €55M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2024-12-10 | €55M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2025-06-03 | €70M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2025-10-10 | €75M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2025-12-15 | €75M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2026-06-01 | €80M | Paris Saint-Germain |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.642
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Joint 6th highest observed value among 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Joint 2nd highest observed value among 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Mendes appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- HakimiRBParis Saint-Germain · Ligue 1€80M
- PachoCBParis Saint-Germain · Ligue 1€80M
- Zaïre-EmeryCMParis Saint-Germain · Ligue 1€80M
- BarcolaLWParis Saint-Germain · Ligue 1€70M
- CubarsíCBFC Barcelona · defenders€80M
- GabrielCBArsenal FC · defenders€75M
- UpamecanoCBBayern Munich · defenders€70M
- GuéhiCBManchester City · defenders€70M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).






