FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Alessandro

Bianco

CMItaly · PAOK Thessaloniki

№ 602124Established €5.4M −0.31

Player dossierSuper League

AlessandroBianco

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
PAOK Thessaloniki
League
Super League
Nationality
Italy
Age
23
Height
173 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bianco at €4M. Model A, which never saw Bianco during training, estimates €5.4M: the market value is 26% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.36. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.31A €5.4M▲ +0.27B €3.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
58
Minutes
3,759
Goals
3
Assists
0
Started
42/58
Min / app
65
Cards
14Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bianco…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4MModel A €5.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Alessandro Bianco's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 45th, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 70th, Starts 56th, Minutes, last 365 days 32nd, European club minutes 72nd45thGoals8thAssists70thMinutes56thStarts32ndRecent72ndEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

11% this player0% midfielder median72nd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€125k
Jun 2021
Peak
€5M
Dec 2024
Model target
€4M
Jun 2026
Valuations
13
4 club changes
Jun 2026€4MPAOK ThessalonikiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €4M, PAOK Thessaloniki. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-06-30€125kFiorentina Primavera
2022-06-23€350kFiorentina Primavera
2022-11-11€350kACF Fiorentina
2023-03-21€600kACF Fiorentina
2023-06-15€800kACF Fiorentina
2023-10-11€1.2MAC Reggiana 1919
2023-12-27€1.5MAC Reggiana 1919
2024-03-25€2.2MAC Reggiana 1919
2024-06-03€2.5MAC Reggiana 1919
2024-12-18€5MAC Monza
2025-06-17€5MAC Monza
2025-12-12€4.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2026-06-04€4MPAOK Thessaloniki

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.307

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 89% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 61% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bianco appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).