FairValue

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Ruslan

Chernenko

CMUkraine · Obolon Kyiv

№ 59877Emerging €179k −0.58

Player dossierPremier Liha

RuslanChernenko

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Obolon Kyiv
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
33
Height
173 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Chernenko at €100k. Model A, which never saw Chernenko during training, estimates €179k: the market value is 44% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.79. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €486k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.58A €179k▼ −1.58B €486k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
47
Minutes
3,049
Goals
1
Assists
3
Started
37/47
Min / app
65
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Chernenko…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €100kModel A €179k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Ruslan Chernenko's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 24th, Assists per 90 48th, Minutes, two years 58th, Starts 68th, Minutes, last 365 days 31st, European club minutes 30th24thGoals48thAssists58thMinutes68thStarts31stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

79% this player69% midfielder median68th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Feb 2017
Peak
€350k
Jun 2021
Model target
€100k
Jun 2026
Valuations
20
3 club changes
Jun 2026€100kObolon KyivValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €100k, Obolon Kyiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-02-09€150kArsenal Kyiv
2018-01-04€150kArsenal Kyiv
2018-05-27€150kArsenal Kyiv
2018-08-06€100kArsenal Kyiv
2018-12-02€100kAgrobiznes Volochysk
2019-06-16€100kAgrobiznes Volochysk
2019-12-18€150kAgrobiznes Volochysk
2020-08-18€200kAgrobiznes Volochysk
2020-12-05€300kAgrobiznes Volochysk
2021-06-17€350kAgrobiznes Volochysk
2021-12-06€300kAgrobiznes Volochysk
2022-05-31€300kMarek
2022-12-06€300kObolon Kyiv
2023-06-21€300kObolon Kyiv
2023-12-11€200kObolon Kyiv
2024-06-06€200kObolon Kyiv
2024-12-17€200kObolon Kyiv
2025-06-10€200kObolon Kyiv
2025-12-18€150kObolon Kyiv
2026-06-02€100kObolon Kyiv

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.583

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 0% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 0% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Chernenko appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).