FairValue

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Portrait of Sem Steijn

Sem

Steijn

AMNetherlands · Feyenoord Rotterdam

№ 593519Elite €18M −0.49

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierEredivisie

SemSteijn

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Feyenoord Rotterdam
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
24
Height
173 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Steijn at €11M. Model A, which never saw Steijn during training, estimates €18M: the market value is 39% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.64. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €29.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.49A €18M▼ −0.99B €29.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
74
Minutes
5,466
Goals
35
Assists
12
Started
63/74
Min / app
74
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Steijn…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €11M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €11MModel A €18M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Sem Steijn's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 100th, Assists per 90 83rd, Minutes, two years 91st, Starts 79th, Minutes, last 365 days 55th, European club minutes 92nd100thGoals83rdAssists91stMinutes79thStarts55thRecent92ndEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.58 this player0.08 midfielder median100th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Oct 2018
Peak
€16M
Mar 2025
Model target
€11M
May 2026
Valuations
19
4 club changes
May 2026€11MFeyenoord RotterdamValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €11M, Feyenoord Rotterdam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-10-04€75kVVV-Venlo
2018-12-28€75kVVV-Venlo
2019-06-12€150kVVV-Venlo
2020-10-14€150kADO Den Haag U21
2021-10-12€300kADO Den Haag
2022-01-12€850kADO Den Haag
2022-06-23€925kADO Den Haag
2022-11-11€925kFC Twente Enschede
2023-06-23€1MFC Twente Enschede
2023-10-17€3MFC Twente Enschede
2023-12-15€5MFC Twente Enschede
2024-03-18€7MFC Twente Enschede
2024-05-31€10MFC Twente Enschede
2024-12-17€10MFC Twente Enschede
2025-03-28€16MFC Twente Enschede
2025-05-28€16MFC Twente Enschede
2025-12-02€14MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2026-03-11€11MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2026-05-28€11MFeyenoord Rotterdam

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.494

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 93% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€11MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 81% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€11MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Steijn appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).