FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Azzedine

Ounahi

CMMorocco · Girona FC

№ 593482Elite €6M +0.52

Player dossierLaLiga

AzzedineOunahi

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Girona FC
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Morocco
Age
26
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ounahi at €10M. Model A, which never saw Ounahi during training, estimates €6M: the market value is 68% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.68. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.52A €6M▲ +0.67B €5.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
46
Minutes
3,106
Goals
8
Assists
6
Started
35/46
Min / app
68
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ounahi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €10MModel A €6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Azzedine Ounahi's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 87th, Assists per 90 77th, Minutes, two years 59th, Starts 63rd, Minutes, last 365 days 57th, European club minutes 30th87thGoals77thAssists59thMinutes63rdStarts57thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.23 this player0.08 midfielder median87th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Nov 2020
Peak
€15M
Dec 2022
Model target
€10M
Jun 2026
Valuations
15
4 club changes
Jun 2026€10MGirona FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €10M, Girona FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-11-11€300kUS Avranches
2021-06-25€350kUS Avranches
2021-10-08€800kAngers SCO
2021-12-16€1.5MAngers SCO
2022-03-23€2MAngers SCO
2022-05-30€3MAngers SCO
2022-11-02€3.5MAngers SCO
2022-12-23€15MAngers SCO
2023-06-27€12MOlympique Marseille
2023-12-18€12MOlympique Marseille
2024-06-03€12MOlympique Marseille
2024-12-18€10MPanathinaikos
2025-05-23€10MPanathinaikos
2025-12-12€10MGirona FC
2026-06-05€10MGirona FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.518

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 73% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 78% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ounahi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).