FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Andreas

Jungdal

GKDenmark · KVC Westerlo

№ 592924Established €5.7M −0.49

Player dossierPro League

AndreasJungdal

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
KVC Westerlo
League
Pro League
Nationality
Denmark
Age
24
Height
195 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Jungdal at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Jungdal during training, estimates €5.7M: the market value is 39% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.64. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.8M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.49A €5.7M▼ −0.33B €4.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
48
Minutes
4,320
Started
48/48
Min / app
90
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Jungdal…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €5.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Andreas Jungdal's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 70th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 93rd, European club minutes 32nd70thMinutes62ndStarts93rdRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,600 this player1,560 goalkeeper median93rd percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,970

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jun 2021
Peak
€3.5M
Jun 2026
Model target
€3.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
14
4 club changes
Jun 2026€3.5MKVC WesterloValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €3.5M, KVC Westerlo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-06-30€150kMilan Primavera
2022-06-23€150kMilan Primavera
2022-11-11€150kAC Milan
2023-03-20€400kSCR Altach
2023-06-12€300kSCR Altach
2023-12-27€400kUS Cremonese
2024-03-25€1.5MUS Cremonese
2024-06-03€1.5MUS Cremonese
2024-10-15€1.2MUS Cremonese
2024-12-23€900kUS Cremonese
2025-03-26€1.1MKVC Westerlo
2025-06-12€1.5MKVC Westerlo
2025-12-10€2.5MKVC Westerlo
2026-06-04€3.5MKVC Westerlo

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.494

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 73% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 72% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Jungdal appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).