FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Panagiotis

Liagas

CBGreece · Levadiakos

№ 586744Emerging €1.2M −0.20

Player dossierSuper League

PanagiotisLiagas

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Levadiakos
League
Super League
Nationality
Greece
Age
26
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Liagas at €1M. Model A, which never saw Liagas during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 18% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.22. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.20A €1.2M▼ −0.38B €1.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
48
Minutes
3,971
Goals
2
Assists
2
Started
45/48
Min / app
83
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Liagas…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €1.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Panagiotis Liagas's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 61st, Assists per 90 54th, Minutes, two years 69th, Starts 80th, Minutes, last 365 days 60th, European club minutes 30th61stGoals54thAssists69thMinutes80thStarts60thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

94% this player83% defender median80th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Feb 2019
Peak
€1M
Jun 2026
Model target
€1M
Jun 2026
Valuations
16
0 club changes
Jun 2026€1MLevadiakosValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1M, Levadiakos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-02-07€50kLevadiakos
2019-05-21€200kLevadiakos
2021-03-08€300kLevadiakos
2021-05-21€400kLevadiakos
2021-12-28€450kLevadiakos
2022-06-27€450kLevadiakos
2022-11-07€450kLevadiakos
2023-05-22€450kLevadiakos
2023-09-21€400kLevadiakos
2023-12-28€400kLevadiakos
2024-05-23€450kLevadiakos
2024-12-18€450kLevadiakos
2025-05-23€500kLevadiakos
2025-12-12€600kLevadiakos
2026-03-06€800kLevadiakos
2026-06-04€1MLevadiakos

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.201

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 67% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 35% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Liagas appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).