FairValue

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Portrait of Carlos Augusto

Carlos

Augusto

LBBrazil · Inter Milan

№ 585982Elite €22.3M +0.03

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

CarlosAugusto

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Inter Milan
League
Serie A
Nationality
Brazil
Age
27
Height
184 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Augusto at €23M. Model A, which never saw Augusto during training, estimates €22.3M: the market value is 3% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.03. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €20.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.03A €22.3M▲ +0.14B €20.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
95
Minutes
5,240
Goals
5
Assists
9
Started
51/95
Min / app
55
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Augusto…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €23M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €23MModel A €22.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Carlos Augusto's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 82nd, Assists per 90 89th, Minutes, two years 86th, Starts 10th, Minutes, last 365 days 82nd, European club minutes 89th82ndGoals89thAssists86thMinutes10thStarts82ndRecent89thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.15 this player0.04 defender median89th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
May 2018
Peak
€26M
Jun 2025
Model target
€23M
May 2026
Valuations
21
2 club changes
May 2026€23MInter MilanValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €23M, Inter Milan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-05-23€50kSport Club Corinthians Paulista
2019-02-18€100kSport Club Corinthians Paulista
2019-05-28€500kSport Club Corinthians Paulista
2019-08-15€900kSport Club Corinthians Paulista
2019-11-27€900kSport Club Corinthians Paulista
2020-04-08€800kSport Club Corinthians Paulista
2020-10-29€3MAC Monza
2021-02-22€5MAC Monza
2021-06-24€5.5MAC Monza
2021-12-29€4MAC Monza
2022-06-06€4.5MAC Monza
2022-11-11€4.5MAC Monza
2023-03-21€8MAC Monza
2023-06-15€15MAC Monza
2023-12-20€16MInter Milan
2024-03-12€20MInter Milan
2024-06-05€22MInter Milan
2024-12-18€22MInter Milan
2025-06-17€26MInter Milan
2025-12-23€26MInter Milan
2026-05-29€23MInter Milan

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.032

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 87% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€23MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 93% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€23MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Augusto appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).